The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast


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Scientific Reports, 6 Coral bleaching, coral disease, and coral mortality events are increasing due to high water temperatures attributed to climate change. Looking at the unusually high levels of contagious coral disease in southeastern Florida throughout , the article links the high level of coral mortality to thermally stressed coral colonies. Friedland, K. Progress in Oceanography, , Within the ecosystem of the US Northeast Continental Shelf there are different thermal habitats, and the increasing water temperatures are impacting the quantity of these habitats.

The amounts of warmer, surface habitats have increased whereas the cooler water habitats have decreased. This has the potential to significantly lower quantities of Atlantic Cod as their food zooplankton is affected by the shifts in temperature. Record, N. Oceanography, 32 2 , Climate change is causing ecosystems to rapidly change states, which renders a lot of conservation strategies based on historical patterns ineffective. With deep-water temperatures warming at rates twice as high as surface water rates, species like Calanus finmarchicus, a critical food supply for North Atlantic right whales, have changed their migration patterns.

Economists help climate scientists to improve global warming forecasts

North Atlantic right whales are following their prey out of their historical migration route, changing the pattern, and thus putting them at risk to ship strikes or gear entanglements in areas conservation strategies do not protect them. Bryndum-Buchholz, A.

The Warming Papers The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast

Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins. Global Change Biology, 25 2 , Climate change affects marine ecosystems in relation to primary production, ocean temperature, species distributions, and abundance at local and global scales. These changes significantly alter marine ecosystem structure and function. This study analyzes the responses of marine animal biomass in response to these climate change stressors. Niiler, E. National Geographic. Recently, the male sharks have stayed farther north as the northern waters become warmer.

Worm, B. Retrieved from: sciencedirect. Long-term fish and plankton monitoring data has provided the most compelling evidence for climate-driven changes in species assemblages. The chapter concludes that conserving marine biodiversity may provide the best buffer against rapid climate change. McCauley, D. Marine defaunation: Animal loss in the global ocean. Humans have profoundly affected marine wildlife and the function and structure of the ocean. Marine defaunation, or human-caused animal loss in the ocean, emerged only hundreds of years ago.

Climate change threatens to accelerate marine defaunation over the next century. One of the main drivers of marine wildlife loss is habitat degradation due to climate change, which is avoidable with proactive intervention and restoration. Deutsch, C. Climate change tightens a metabolic constraint on marine habitats.

The Warming Papers

Retrieved from: science. Both the warming of the ocean and the loss of dissolved oxygen will drastically alter marine ecosystems. This forces poleward and vertical contraction of metabolically viable habitats and species ranges. Marcogilese, D. The impact of climate change on the parasites and infectious diseases of aquatic animals. The distribution of parasites and pathogens will be directly and indirectly affected by global warming, which may cascade through food webs with consequences for entire ecosystems.

Transmission rates of parasites and pathogens are directly correlated to temperature, the increasing temperature is increasing transmission rates. Some evidence also suggests that virulence is directly correlated as well. Barry, J. Climate-related, long-term faunal changes in a California rocky intertidal community. Retrieved from: doi. The invertebrate fauna in a California rocky intertidal community has shifted northward when comparing two study periods, one from and the other from This shift northward is consistent with predictions of change associated with climate warming.

When comparing the temperatures from the two study periods, the mean summer maximum temperatures during the period were 2. Brown, K.

Ocean and Climate Change - The Ocean Foundation

Temporal effects of ocean warming and acidification on coral-algal competition. Coral Reefs, 38 2 , Coral reefs and algae are essential to ocean ecosystems and they are in competition with one another due to limited resources. Due to warming water and acidification as a result of climate change, this competition is being altered.

To offset the combined effects of ocean warming and acidification, tests were conducted, but even enhanced photosynthesis was not enough to offset the effects and both corals and algae have reduced survivorship, calcification, and photosynthetic ability. Bruno, J.

The warming papers : the scientific foundation for the climate change forecast

Annual Review of Marine Science, 11, Reef-building corals are being devastated by climate change. To combat this, marine protected areas were established, and the protection of herbivorous fish followed. The others posit that these strategies have had little effect on the overall coral resilience because their main stressor is the rising ocean temperature. To save reef-building corals, efforts need to go past the local level. Anthropogenic climate change needs to be tackled head-on as it is the root cause of global coral decline.

Cheal, A.


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The threat to coral reefs from more intense cyclones under climate change. Global Change Biology. Retrieved from: onlinelibrary. Climate change boosts the energy of cyclones that cause coral destruction. While cyclone frequency is not likely to increase, cyclone intensity will as a result of climate warming. Coral reefs in the Anthropocene. Reefs are degrading rapidly in response to a series of anthropogenic drivers.

Because of this, returning reefs to their past configuration is not an option. To combat reef degradation, this article calls for radical changes in science and management to steer reefs through this era while maintaining their biological function.

Studies have begun to predict the elimination of most warm-water coral reefs by although cold-water corals are at lower risk. They assert that unless rapid advances are made in emission reduction, communities that depend on coral reefs to survive are likely to face poverty, social disruption, and regional insecurity.

Global warming and recurrent mass bleaching of corals. Recent recurrent mass coral bleaching events have varied significantly in severity. Using surveys of Australian reefs and sea surface temperatures, the article explains that water quality and fishing pressure had minimal effects on bleaching in , suggesting that local conditions provide little protection against extreme temperatures. Torda, G. Rapid adaptive responses to climate change in corals.

The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast The Warming Papers: The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast

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